Bookworm Competition 2024 Presidential. Historian allan lichtman has accurately predicted the outcome of 9 out of the last 10 presidential elections, and he’s done it without the use of polling data. Chance each candidate has of winning electoral college or the popular vote in the 2024 presidential election and our best predictions of the outcome based on 40,000 simulations from our model.
The 2024 presidential election was already like none in living memory: Historian allan lichtman has accurately predicted the outcome of 9 out of the last 10 presidential elections, and he’s done it without the use of polling data.